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Network for Greening the Financial System Releases Updated Climate Risk Scenarios for the Financial System

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The Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) last week released an update to their climate scenarios which assist financial institutions with analysing climate-related risks to the economy and financial system (the Study). The NGFS is a group of 91 central banks (including the Bank of Canada, US Federal Reserve, and European Central Bank), supervisors, and observers that seek to share best practices and contribute to the development of climate risk management in the financial sector, and to mobilize mainstream finance to support the transition toward a sustainable economy. This bulletin provides a high-level summary of the Study’s key findings: Transition risks: Emission prices. The Study indicates that a price of $160/tonne CO2e will be required by 2030 to incentivise the transition to net zero by 2050. Energy investment. Greater investments in renewable energy and storage will be necessary to meet net zero goals by 2050, with substantially reduced investments in fossil fuel extraction. The Study suggests that, by 2050, renewables and biomass will account for 68% of global energy needs, with fossil fuels (coal, oil, and gas) providing close to 25%, down from approximately 80% in 2020. CO2 removal. The Study assumed low to medium availability of carbon removal technology and storage such as increasing forest cover, soil sequestration, and growing crops for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS). The Study suggests that CO2 removal would help to accelerate decarbonization goals and lower warming outcomes but on a limited scale. Agriculture, forestry and land use. Changes in land use will be important for the pathway to net zero by 2050, including increasing forest cover and bioenergy cropland and reducing cropland for food production and pasture land. The Study notes that CO2 emissions are anticipated to decline more quickly than other greenhouse gases including N2O and CH4. Physical risks:…

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Shareholders Vote to Support Climate Action at ExxonMobil and Chevron

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Shareholders and investors at two of the largest oil companies in the U.S. have voted to support increased climate action during recent shareholder meetings.   Led by activist investors and hedge funds, shareholders at ExxonMobil’s annual shareholder meeting voted to replace at least two board members with individuals perceived to be supportive of firmer action on climate change and CO2 emissions reductions. Similarly, shareholders at Chevron voted 61% in support of a resolution to “substantially reduce” Scope 3 emissions from Chevron’s energy products, which account for over 90% of its carbon emissions. Management at both Exxon and Chevron unsuccessfully came out against the respective votes.    Hedge fund Engine No.1 was behind the vote to replace board members at Exxon with individuals more aligned with taking increased climate action. Engine No.1 was able to gain the backing of institutional investors (including BlackRock) that want firmer commitments to act on reducing emissions and taking climate change into account as part of a broader investment and carbon transition strategy.   These developments follow last month’s vote at ConocoPhillips, advanced by activist shareholder group Follow This, in favour of setting Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions reduction targets, which 58% of shareholder supported. Please contact Lisa DeMarco at lisa@resilientllp.com should you wish to discuss the contents of this bulletin.

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Unilever Shareholders Overwhelmingly Support Climate Transition Action Plan

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Yesterday, over 99% of Unilever shareholders voted in favour of a non-binding resolution supporting the company’s Climate Transition Action Plan (the “Plan”). The Plan sets a target of achieving net-zero by 2039 for each and all of Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions. The Plan sets the following targets: Net-zero by 2039 across Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions; 70% reduction against a 2015 baseline in Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2025 and 100% reduction by 2030; 1.5oC aligned Science Based Target; Cut the footprint of products in half by 2030 against a 2010 baseline; and €1 billion for a Climate and Nature Fund To achieve the goals and targets of the Plan, Unilever is undertaking, among others, the following actions: 100% reusable, recyclable, or compostable plastic packaging by 2025; By 2030, electric vehicles will make up 100% of Unilever’s global car fleet; 100% renewable grid electricity (achieved in 2020) and heat by 2030; phase out high-impact HFC refrigerant from cooling systems; align capital expenditure with their 1.5oC pathways; €1B target for annual sales of plant-based meat and dairy alternative by 2025-2027; 60% reduction of product emissions through concentration and compaction; Replace fossil-fuel derived carbon with renewable or recycled carbon by 2030 in home care formulations; and Help protect and regenerate 1.5 million hectares of land, forests, and oceans by 2030. In addition, as part of the Plan, Unilever will begin to disclose the carbon footprint of every product is sells. Please contact Lisa DeMarco at lisa@resilientllp.com should you wish to discuss the contents of this bulletin.

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