The Group of Seven (G7) recently published the Climate, Energy and Environment Ministers’ Meeting Communiqué following the G7 Ministers’ Meeting on Climate, Energy and Environment held last week in Turin, Italy. This marked the first meeting of G7 climate, energy and environment ministers (the Ministers) since COP28 last November and included renewed commitments on strengthening energy security, greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction, limiting global temperature increases to 1.5°C, and the imperative of transitioning to cleaner energy sources for economic growth and climate resilience. We view the Ministers’ renewed dedication to energy transition as the meeting’s most significant outcome, although it is important to note that countries heavily reliant on coal maintain some degree of flexibility. This bulletin briefly highlights key commitments made by the Ministers. Carbon Markets. Key carbon market commitments include: work jointly towards delivering robust outcomes from the Work Programme on Article 6 at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan later this year; explore innovative options for carbon markets and carbon pricing to contribute to mobilizing public and private contributions to climate finance; and enhance demand and robust certification standards for carbon dioxide removals. Energy. Key energy commitments include: phase out existing unabated coal power generation in energy systems during the first half of 2030s or in a timeline consistent with keeping a limit of 1.5°C temperature rise within reach, in line with national net-zero pathways; setting a global target of reaching 1,500 GW of energy storage in the electricity sector by 2030, six times more than in 2022; reduce demand for and use of fossil fuels, including by rapidly scaling-up clean technologies in power generation, transportation and other end users; and phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies, with all countries committing to a progress report in 2025, when Canada will have the Presidency of the G7 (read our earlier bulletin on Canada’s inefficient…
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) yesterday announced new proposed federal vehicle emissions standards that are intended to accelerate the ongoing transition to cleaner vehicles and reduce emissions. The proposals would avoid nearly 10 billion tons of CO2 emissions through 2055, equivalent to more than twice the total U.S. CO2 emissions in 2022. The proposed regulations are designed to ensure that electric vehicles (EVs) make up as much as 67 per cent of new passenger vehicles sold in the U.S. by 2032. If implemented, we anticipate that the proposed regulations will have a significant impact on Canada’s economy given the high level of integration of automotive sectors and Canada’s rich supply of critical minerals essential to the production of EVs and EV batteries. This bulletin briefly summarizes the proposed rules: Light- and Medium-Duty Vehicles. The first set of proposed standards, the “Multi-Pollutant Emissions Standards for Model Years 2027 and Later Light-Duty and Medium Duty Vehicles”, builds on the EPA’s existing emissions standards for passenger cars and light trucks for model years (MYs) 2023 through 2026. The EPA projects that, with the new standards, EVs could account for 67% of new light-duty vehicle sales and 46% of new medium-duty vehicle sales in MY 2032. The proposed MY 2032 light-duty standards are projected to result in a 56% reduction in projected fleet average greenhouse gas emissions target levels compared to the existing MY 2026 standards. The proposed MY 2032 medium-duty vehicle standards would result in a 44% reduction compared to MY 2026 standards. Heavy-Duty Vehicles. The second set of proposed standards, the “Greenhouse Gas Standards for Heavy-Duty Vehicles – Phase 3”, would apply to heavy-duty vocational vehicles (such as delivery trucks, refuse haulers or dump trucks, public utility trucks, transit, shuttle, school buses) and trucks typically used to haul freight. These standards would complement the criteria pollutant standards…
The United States has just passed arguably its most significant and meaningful legislative instrument on climate change and clean energy. It is intended to have positive implications for climate and clean energy markets around the globe. On Sunday, August 8, 2022, the US Senate passed the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 (the Act). The Act was then passed by the House of Representatives on Friday, August 12, 2022, and President Biden signed it into law today (Tuesday, August 16, 2022). The Act represents a central pillar of President Biden’s policy agenda and is extremely ambitious in scope, with significant implications for healthcare, taxes, and climate change. It authorizes approximately US$430 billion in spending, with approximately US$369 billion of that sum directed to clean energy and addressing climate change. This bulletin highlights the central climate and energy provisions of the Act. It is noteworthy that Senate Democrats estimate that the Act will raise US$739 billion in new revenue through measures such as increasing the IRS’s enforcement of tax evasion, and a new 15% minimum tax rate applicable to corporations with profits of $1 billion or more. These new revenues are intended to more than offset the expenses resulting from new programs, resulting in a projected reduction in the federal government’s deficit. The Senate was the critical hurdle for the Act, with approval remaining in doubt until its final passing by a vote of 51-50 (along strict party lines with Vice President Harris casting the 51st and tie-breaking vote). Senate Democrats indicate that the climate change provisions of the Act will result in a 40 percent reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 compared to 2005 levels when fully implemented. While this falls short of America’s updated Paris Target of a 50-52% reduction from 2005 GHG emissions by 2030, it constitutes meaningful progress toward that goal. The climate and energy portions…
Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) today released the 2030 Emissions Reduction Plan (the Plan) under the Canadian Net-Zero Emissions Accountability Act (the Act; read our earlier bulletin on the Act here). The Plan sets out current actions, additional funding of $9.1B, and several new initiatives to meet Canada’s emissions reduction target of 40-45% below 2005 levels by 2030, as provided last year in an update to Canada’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement (read our earlier bulletin on Canada’s updated NDC targets here). The Plan also sets a new interim objective of reducing GHGs by 20% below 2005 levels by 2026, noting that this interim objective is not an official target akin to Canada’s 2030 NDC, but that progress towards achieving the objective will be a cornerstone of progress reports associated with the Plan in 2023, 2025, and 2027. This bulletin highlights key parts of the Plan and summarizes the newly announced funding and initiatives, across the following categories: Carbon pricing Clean fuels Clean growth funding Methane Buildings Electricity Heavy industry Oil and gas Transportation Agriculture Waste Nature-based solutions Clean technology and climate innovation Sustainable finance Jobs, skills, and communities Prime Minister Justin Trudeau launched the Plan in an address at the GLOBE Forum in Vancouver earlier today. Carbon pricing. The Plan notes the measures undertaken to address economy-wide emissions including the federal fuel charge and the Output-Based Pricing System for industrial emitters under the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act. Escalating the federal benchmark price to $170 by 2030 is meant to further support the 2030 targets of the federal government along with continued consultations on a possible border carbon adjustment (read our earlier bulletin here). Very significantly, the Plan puts forward the concept of investment approaches, like carbon contracts for differences, which enshrine future price levels in contracts between the federal government and low-carbon…
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance Chrystia Freeland today released Budget 2021: A Recovery Plan for Jobs, Growth, and Resilience (Budget 2021), Chapter 5 of which poignantly (and, some may argue, politically) opens with the statement: